Friday, March 16, 2012

Dodgers drop two of the last three

Well I guess the hot start to spring training couldn't last, however as we arrive at the halfway point of the Dodgers Catus League tour the team stands at a respectable 7-3-2. During these starts the Dodger starting pitching, which many believe will be solid, but not a strength, has been strong. Let's go over the five starters and their stats so far this spring.

Clayton Kershaw: 7IP, 4H, 3BB, 6SO, 0ER. Highlights: Strikeing out 6 against the Reds starters, including Votto and Bruce

Chad Billingsley: 8IP, 11H, 3BB, 4SO, 4ER. Highlight: In the last game Bills induce 6 groundouts all from his changeup. Plus he is showing better command at the plate with only 3 walks so far.

Ted Lily: 5IP, 7H, 2BB, 1SO, 5ER. Highlight: Looked very solid for 3 innings against his old team the Cubbies. 1 hit and no runs in 3 innings. As per his normal progression, expect his stuff to get better as the year progresses.

Aaron Harang: 5IP, 7H, 0BB, 2SO, 3ER. Highlights: Against the slugger laiden Angels lineup, Harang gave up no free passes, 1 earned run, and had 2 strike outs in 3 innings. A solid start.

Chris Capuano: 4.2IP, 4H, 2BB, 7SO, 2ER. Highlights: Capuano is leading the team in strikeouts right now despite having the fewest innings. Looks like last years 8.1 SO/9 wasn't a fluke.

In all the starters look solid, and seem to be getting better. Adding together each starters last game, they allowed only 4 earned runs. Assuming Kershaw can win 20, and the rest of the starters when averaged together average 10 wins (or 40 wins all together) that put the Starters in line to win at least 60 games, only one less than Kershaw, Kuroda, Lily, Bills, and Rubby put up last year. Also with the solid bullpen that is forming there is no reason why the Dodgers can work another 22 or more wins after the starters are knocked out. Even though the Dodgers starting staff will most likely allow the most home runs out of any staff in baseball, look for them to also lead the league in fewest free passes and for all 5 starteres to have a sub 4.3 ERA by the end of the season and possibly beat last years staff ERA of 3.8.

On another note Dee Gordon had one of the most amazing steals that I've ever seen yesterday. Despite most analyst throwing Dee to the dogs, stating that he: "Does not hit the ball with authority", "One of the weakest hitters in the majors","Can't hit the ball out of the infield","light hitter". Despite all this Dee has been putting up great numbers so far this spring. So far in 18 at bats he has 5 hits for a 278 average, not great. But despite all the complaints about Dee not walking he also has 4 walks and only 1 strikeout to make his on base a very fun 435. In addition he is 5 of 5 for stolen bases. Despite every analyst coming up and saying Dee will be a big flop due to his lack of power, it has been clear that pitchers are afraid, of his speed, and it effects the way they pitch to him, leading to more walks. There is no better example of this than the Dodgers three run first inning against Jared Weaver and the Angels. Weaver was clearly disturbed by Gordon's first pitch bunt single, and then became even more aggitated when Dee stole second, leading to mistake pitches and doubles by Either and Rivera. Also in the last game, Dee's stolen base before even allowing a pitch to be thrown to Jerry Hairston, suprised and unsettled KC prospect Danny Duffy who then allowed 2 earned runs in the first. In fact, of the 8 games that Dee has started, he has scored a run in the first inning in 4 of them. Of Dee's 9 times that he has been on base, he has scored a run 5 times. Despite his lack of power, it cannot be denied that Dee's speed is a dangerous tool that allows for him to not just get on base, but score runs.

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